MLB Team Stats
Wins above Pythagorean expectation
Actual wins minus the wins the run differential predicted — close-game record, bullpen sequencing, and luck, in one number.
| Rank | Team | W−xW | vs Lg avg | Z | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cincinnati Reds | 10.1 | +10.4 | 2.1 |
|
| 2 | Tampa Bay Rays | 8.2 | +8.4 | 1.7 |
|
| 3 | San Diego Padres | 5.2 | +5.4 | 1.1 |
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| 4 | Philadelphia Phillies | 5.0 | +5.2 | 1.1 |
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| 5 | Houston Astros | 4.6 | +4.8 | 1.0 |
|
| 6 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 4.5 | +4.8 | 1.0 |
|
| 7 | Texas Rangers | 3.8 | +4.0 | 0.8 |
|
| 8 | Cleveland Guardians | 3.2 | +3.4 | 0.7 |
|
| 9 | Athletics | 3.1 | +3.4 | 0.7 |
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| 10 | Toronto Blue Jays | 2.7 | +3.0 | 0.6 |
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| 11 | Minnesota Twins | 1.7 | +2.0 | 0.4 |
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| 12 | Seattle Mariners | 1.3 | +1.6 | 0.3 |
|
| 13 | Baltimore Orioles | 1.2 | +1.4 | 0.3 |
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| 14 | Atlanta Braves | 1.1 | +1.4 | 0.3 |
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| 15 | Milwaukee Brewers | -0.3 | −0.1 | 0.0 |
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| 15 | St. Louis Cardinals | -0.3 | −0.1 | 0.0 |
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| 17 | Kansas City Royals | -0.4 | −0.2 | 0.0 |
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| 18 | Pittsburgh Pirates | -1.2 | −1.0 | -0.2 |
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| 19 | Miami Marlins | -1.8 | −1.6 | -0.3 |
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| 20 | Los Angeles Dodgers | -2.5 | −2.2 | -0.5 |
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| 21 | Chicago White Sox | -2.6 | −2.4 | -0.5 |
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| 22 | New York Mets | -2.8 | −2.6 | -0.5 |
|
| 23 | New York Yankees | -3.1 | −2.8 | -0.6 |
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| 24 | Boston Red Sox | -3.4 | −3.2 | -0.6 |
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| 25 | Chicago Cubs | -5.2 | −5.0 | -1.0 |
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| 26 | Washington Nationals | -5.3 | −5.0 | -1.0 |
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| 27 | San Francisco Giants | -5.9 | −5.6 | -1.1 |
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| 28 | Colorado Rockies | -6.3 | −6.0 | -1.2 |
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| 29 | Los Angeles Angels | -9.0 | −8.8 | -1.8 |
|
| 30 | Detroit Tigers | -13.1 | −12.8 | -2.6 |
|
Ranks are among the MLB clubs with a value for that metric. Computed about 6 hours ago.