MLB Team Stats
Wins above Pythagorean expectation
Actual wins minus the wins the run differential predicted — close-game record, bullpen sequencing, and luck, in one number.
| Rank | Team | W−xW | vs Lg avg | Z | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rays | 7.5 | +7.7 | 1.9 |
|
| 2 | Cincinnati Reds | 6.6 | +6.8 | 1.7 |
|
| 3 | Philadelphia Phillies | 4.8 | +5.0 | 1.2 |
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| 4 | Houston Astros | 4.6 | +4.8 | 1.2 |
|
| 5 | Texas Rangers | 4.4 | +4.6 | 1.1 |
|
| 6 | San Diego Padres | 3.7 | +3.9 | 0.9 |
|
| 7 | Toronto Blue Jays | 3.6 | +3.8 | 0.9 |
|
| 8 | Minnesota Twins | 2.8 | +3.0 | 0.7 |
|
| 9 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 2.2 | +2.4 | 0.6 |
|
| 10 | Seattle Mariners | 1.5 | +1.7 | 0.4 |
|
| 11 | Athletics | 1.4 | +1.6 | 0.4 |
|
| 12 | Baltimore Orioles | 0.9 | +1.1 | 0.3 |
|
| 13 | Kansas City Royals | 0.6 | +0.8 | 0.2 |
|
| 14 | Cleveland Guardians | 0.2 | +0.4 | 0.1 |
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| 15 | St. Louis Cardinals | 0.1 | +0.3 | 0.1 |
|
| 16 | Chicago Cubs | 0.0 | +0.2 | 0.0 |
|
| 17 | Miami Marlins | -1.0 | −0.8 | -0.2 |
|
| 17 | Milwaukee Brewers | -1.0 | −0.8 | -0.2 |
|
| 19 | Atlanta Braves | -1.2 | −1.0 | -0.3 |
|
| 20 | Los Angeles Dodgers | -1.3 | −1.1 | -0.3 |
|
| 21 | Chicago White Sox | -1.7 | −1.5 | -0.4 |
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| 22 | New York Yankees | -1.8 | −1.6 | -0.4 |
|
| 23 | New York Mets | -1.9 | −1.7 | -0.4 |
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| 24 | Colorado Rockies | -2.9 | −2.7 | -0.7 |
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| 25 | San Francisco Giants | -3.8 | −3.6 | -0.9 |
|
| 26 | Pittsburgh Pirates | -4.9 | −4.7 | -1.2 |
|
| 27 | Washington Nationals | -5.4 | −5.2 | -1.3 |
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| 28 | Boston Red Sox | -5.6 | −5.4 | -1.3 |
|
| 29 | Los Angeles Angels | -6.1 | −5.9 | -1.4 |
|
| 30 | Detroit Tigers | -11.6 | −11.4 | -2.8 |
|
Ranks are among the MLB clubs with a value for that metric. Computed about 7 hours ago.