MLB Team Stats
Wins above Pythagorean expectation
Actual wins minus the wins the run differential predicted — close-game record, bullpen sequencing, and luck, in one number.
| Rank | Team | W−xW | vs Lg avg | Z | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cincinnati Reds | 9.4 | +9.6 | 2.0 |
|
| 2 | Tampa Bay Rays | 8.9 | +9.1 | 1.9 |
|
| 3 | Houston Astros | 5.3 | +5.5 | 1.1 |
|
| 4 | Philadelphia Phillies | 4.8 | +5.0 | 1.0 |
|
| 5 | San Diego Padres | 4.6 | +4.8 | 1.0 |
|
| 6 | Texas Rangers | 4.1 | +4.3 | 0.9 |
|
| 7 | Toronto Blue Jays | 3.6 | +3.8 | 0.8 |
|
| 8 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 3.5 | +3.7 | 0.8 |
|
| 9 | Athletics | 3.4 | +3.6 | 0.7 |
|
| 10 | Cleveland Guardians | 2.3 | +2.5 | 0.5 |
|
| 11 | Minnesota Twins | 2.0 | +2.2 | 0.5 |
|
| 12 | Baltimore Orioles | 1.1 | +1.3 | 0.3 |
|
| 13 | Atlanta Braves | 0.6 | +0.8 | 0.2 |
|
| 14 | Seattle Mariners | 0.5 | +0.7 | 0.1 |
|
| 15 | Kansas City Royals | 0.4 | +0.6 | 0.1 |
|
| 16 | St. Louis Cardinals | 0.1 | +0.3 | 0.1 |
|
| 17 | Milwaukee Brewers | -0.9 | −0.7 | -0.1 |
|
| 18 | Miami Marlins | -1.3 | −1.1 | -0.2 |
|
| 19 | Los Angeles Dodgers | -1.9 | −1.7 | -0.3 |
|
| 20 | Chicago White Sox | -2.3 | −2.1 | -0.4 |
|
| 21 | New York Mets | -2.6 | −2.4 | -0.5 |
|
| 22 | New York Yankees | -2.9 | −2.7 | -0.6 |
|
| 23 | Pittsburgh Pirates | -3.0 | −2.8 | -0.6 |
|
| 24 | Boston Red Sox | -3.1 | −2.9 | -0.6 |
|
| 25 | Chicago Cubs | -4.8 | −4.6 | -0.9 |
|
| 26 | San Francisco Giants | -5.3 | −5.1 | -1.0 |
|
| 27 | Colorado Rockies | -5.4 | −5.2 | -1.1 |
|
| 28 | Washington Nationals | -5.8 | −5.6 | -1.1 |
|
| 29 | Los Angeles Angels | -9.8 | −9.6 | -2.0 |
|
| 30 | Detroit Tigers | -12.2 | −12.0 | -2.5 |
|
Ranks are among the MLB clubs with a value for that metric. Computed about 1 hour ago.