MLB Team Stats
Wins above Pythagorean expectation
Actual wins minus the wins the run differential predicted — close-game record, bullpen sequencing, and luck, in one number.
| Rank | Team | W−xW | vs Lg avg | Z | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cincinnati Reds | 10.0 | +10.3 | 2.1 |
|
| 2 | Tampa Bay Rays | 8.2 | +8.5 | 1.7 |
|
| 3 | Philadelphia Phillies | 5.2 | +5.5 | 1.1 |
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| 4 | San Diego Padres | 4.9 | +5.2 | 1.1 |
|
| 5 | Houston Astros | 4.7 | +5.0 | 1.0 |
|
| 6 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 4.0 | +4.3 | 0.9 |
|
| 7 | Texas Rangers | 3.4 | +3.7 | 0.8 |
|
| 8 | Athletics | 3.3 | +3.6 | 0.7 |
|
| 9 | Cleveland Guardians | 3.2 | +3.5 | 0.7 |
|
| 9 | Toronto Blue Jays | 3.2 | +3.5 | 0.7 |
|
| 11 | Minnesota Twins | 1.3 | +1.6 | 0.3 |
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| 11 | Seattle Mariners | 1.3 | +1.6 | 0.3 |
|
| 13 | Atlanta Braves | 1.1 | +1.4 | 0.3 |
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| 14 | Baltimore Orioles | 0.5 | +0.8 | 0.2 |
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| 15 | St. Louis Cardinals | 0.0 | +0.3 | 0.1 |
|
| 16 | Milwaukee Brewers | -0.6 | −0.3 | -0.1 |
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| 17 | Kansas City Royals | -1.1 | −0.8 | -0.2 |
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| 18 | Pittsburgh Pirates | -1.5 | −1.2 | -0.3 |
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| 19 | Miami Marlins | -1.8 | −1.5 | -0.3 |
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| 20 | Chicago White Sox | -1.9 | −1.6 | -0.3 |
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| 21 | Los Angeles Dodgers | -2.1 | −1.8 | -0.4 |
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| 22 | New York Mets | -2.6 | −2.3 | -0.5 |
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| 23 | Boston Red Sox | -3.3 | −3.0 | -0.6 |
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| 23 | New York Yankees | -3.3 | −3.0 | -0.6 |
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| 25 | Chicago Cubs | -5.2 | −4.9 | -1.0 |
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| 26 | Colorado Rockies | -5.6 | −5.3 | -1.1 |
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| 26 | San Francisco Giants | -5.6 | −5.3 | -1.1 |
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| 26 | Washington Nationals | -5.6 | −5.3 | -1.1 |
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| 29 | Los Angeles Angels | -9.1 | −8.8 | -1.8 |
|
| 30 | Detroit Tigers | -12.9 | −12.6 | -2.6 |
|
Ranks are among the MLB clubs with a value for that metric. Computed 1 day ago.