MLB Team Stats
Wins above Pythagorean expectation
Actual wins minus the wins the run differential predicted — close-game record, bullpen sequencing, and luck, in one number.
| Rank | Team | W−xW | vs Lg avg | Z | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cincinnati Reds | 9.8 | +10.0 | 2.1 |
|
| 2 | Tampa Bay Rays | 8.2 | +8.4 | 1.8 |
|
| 3 | Houston Astros | 5.4 | +5.6 | 1.2 |
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| 4 | Philadelphia Phillies | 4.8 | +5.0 | 1.0 |
|
| 5 | San Diego Padres | 4.1 | +4.3 | 0.9 |
|
| 6 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 3.8 | +4.0 | 0.8 |
|
| 6 | Toronto Blue Jays | 3.8 | +4.0 | 0.8 |
|
| 8 | Texas Rangers | 3.5 | +3.7 | 0.8 |
|
| 9 | Athletics | 3.4 | +3.6 | 0.8 |
|
| 10 | Cleveland Guardians | 2.6 | +2.8 | 0.6 |
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| 11 | Minnesota Twins | 1.8 | +2.0 | 0.4 |
|
| 12 | Seattle Mariners | 0.9 | +1.1 | 0.2 |
|
| 13 | Atlanta Braves | 0.7 | +0.9 | 0.2 |
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| 14 | Baltimore Orioles | 0.6 | +0.8 | 0.2 |
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| 15 | St. Louis Cardinals | 0.2 | +0.4 | 0.1 |
|
| 16 | Kansas City Royals | 0.0 | +0.2 | 0.0 |
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| 17 | Milwaukee Brewers | -0.7 | −0.5 | -0.1 |
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| 18 | Miami Marlins | -1.2 | −1.0 | -0.2 |
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| 19 | Los Angeles Dodgers | -2.1 | −1.9 | -0.4 |
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| 20 | Chicago White Sox | -2.2 | −2.0 | -0.4 |
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| 21 | Boston Red Sox | -2.4 | −2.2 | -0.5 |
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| 22 | New York Mets | -2.5 | −2.3 | -0.5 |
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| 23 | Pittsburgh Pirates | -2.6 | −2.4 | -0.5 |
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| 24 | New York Yankees | -3.1 | −2.9 | -0.6 |
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| 25 | Chicago Cubs | -5.1 | −4.9 | -1.0 |
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| 26 | San Francisco Giants | -5.3 | −5.1 | -1.1 |
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| 27 | Colorado Rockies | -5.6 | −5.4 | -1.1 |
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| 28 | Washington Nationals | -5.9 | −5.7 | -1.2 |
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| 29 | Los Angeles Angels | -9.5 | −9.3 | -1.9 |
|
| 30 | Detroit Tigers | -12.3 | −12.1 | -2.5 |
|
Ranks are among the MLB clubs with a value for that metric. Computed about 1 hour ago.