MLB Team Stats
Wins above Pythagorean expectation
Actual wins minus the wins the run differential predicted — close-game record, bullpen sequencing, and luck, in one number.
| Rank | Team | W−xW | vs Lg avg | Z | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rays | 7.4 | +7.5 | 1.9 |
|
| 2 | Cincinnati Reds | 6.6 | +6.7 | 1.7 |
|
| 3 | Philadelphia Phillies | 4.5 | +4.6 | 1.2 |
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| 4 | Toronto Blue Jays | 4.2 | +4.3 | 1.1 |
|
| 5 | Texas Rangers | 3.7 | +3.8 | 1.0 |
|
| 6 | San Diego Padres | 3.6 | +3.7 | 1.0 |
|
| 7 | Houston Astros | 3.5 | +3.6 | 0.9 |
|
| 8 | Minnesota Twins | 3.0 | +3.1 | 0.8 |
|
| 9 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 2.5 | +2.6 | 0.7 |
|
| 10 | Athletics | 1.5 | +1.6 | 0.4 |
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| 11 | Seattle Mariners | 1.3 | +1.4 | 0.4 |
|
| 12 | Baltimore Orioles | 0.5 | +0.6 | 0.2 |
|
| 13 | Cleveland Guardians | 0.4 | +0.5 | 0.1 |
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| 13 | Kansas City Royals | 0.4 | +0.5 | 0.1 |
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| 15 | St. Louis Cardinals | 0.1 | +0.2 | 0.1 |
|
| 16 | Chicago Cubs | 0.0 | +0.1 | 0.0 |
|
| 17 | Atlanta Braves | -1.1 | −1.0 | -0.2 |
|
| 18 | Miami Marlins | -1.5 | −1.4 | -0.3 |
|
| 18 | Milwaukee Brewers | -1.5 | −1.4 | -0.3 |
|
| 18 | New York Mets | -1.5 | −1.4 | -0.3 |
|
| 21 | Chicago White Sox | -1.7 | −1.6 | -0.4 |
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| 21 | Los Angeles Dodgers | -1.7 | −1.6 | -0.4 |
|
| 23 | New York Yankees | -2.0 | −1.9 | -0.5 |
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| 24 | Colorado Rockies | -3.0 | −2.9 | -0.7 |
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| 25 | San Francisco Giants | -3.3 | −3.2 | -0.8 |
|
| 26 | Pittsburgh Pirates | -4.3 | −4.2 | -1.1 |
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| 27 | Los Angeles Angels | -4.6 | −4.5 | -1.1 |
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| 28 | Washington Nationals | -4.7 | −4.6 | -1.2 |
|
| 29 | Boston Red Sox | -5.3 | −5.2 | -1.3 |
|
| 30 | Detroit Tigers | -11.4 | −11.3 | -2.9 |
|
Ranks are among the MLB clubs with a value for that metric. Computed about 18 hours ago.